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Okay, Hater’s Ball time. These are the Prime 50 picks in September fantasy drafts, in keeping with NFFC ADP (127 drafts).

An excellent technique for fantasy is to draft gamers based mostly on what can go proper after which flip your mindset as soon as the season begins to enthusiastic about what can go incorrect. This fashion, you possibly can mood expectations, nip issues within the bud and be extra goal about what you have got and what you want. So there’s something helpful to take from these blurbs past confronting all of our post-purchase anxieties.

1. Justin Jefferson, MIN, WR — (1.17 ADP): Virtually allergic to touchdowns for a No. 1 total choose (one each 16 catches vs. one each 14 for a median WR).

2. Ja’Marr Chase, CIN, WR — (2.38): Air yards per goal fell 3.5 yards from 2021 to 2022. Must discover a completely satisfied medium in 2023 to command anticipated market share.

3. Christian McCaffrey, SF, RB — (3.32): Now has performed 27 video games previously three seasons mixed.

4. Tyreek Hill, MIA, WR — (4.21): Beginning QB is successful away from handing over the reins to Mike White, who has concussion points himself.

5. Austin Ekeler, LAC, RB — (6): The offensive coordinator was let go as a result of Ekeler was too concerned within the passing offense and since the operating recreation lacked physicality. New OC Kellen Moore focused RBs 17.1% of makes an attempt vs. 25.9% for LAC in 2022.

6. Travis Kelce, KC, TE — (6.45): Hyper-extended knee (standing unknown) places the difficulty of when the circus goes to depart city for Kelce into sharp reduction.  Would age 34 be a shock, or ought to we’ve seen it coming?

7. Stefon Diggs, BUF, WR — (7.65): The final time we noticed him, he was yelling demonstrably at his QB after which he reportedly requested to be traded.

8. Bijan Robinson, ATL, RB — (10.32): First spherical fantasy choose sight unseen — with main uncertainty at quarterback — looks like a dicey recipe for a championship-level draft.

9. CeeDee Lamb, DAL, WR — (10.48): Extra branches on the passing tree now and arguably fewer targets given Dak Prescott’s turnover woes/anticipated transformation right into a recreation supervisor.

10.. Amon-Ra St. Brown, DET, WR — (10.72): Actually, REALLY hates touchdowns — one each 24.3 targets in 2022.

11. A.J. Brown, PHI, WR — (11.69): Not lots of anticipated passing makes an attempt and passing touchdowns on this offense and has two elite receivers competing with him for targets.

12. Garrett Wilson, NYJ, WR — (11.9): When have the Jets ever been allowed to have good issues?

13. Saquon Barkley, NYG, RB — (12.17): RB7 within the second half of 2022 in PPR with 5 extra factors than Joe Mixon and Najee Harris, who can be found manner later.

14. Nick Chubb, CLE, RB — (13.93):  A superb participant who has averaged a meager 16 carries a recreation for his profession for some motive.

15. Davante Adams, LV, WR — (15.64): The soccer gods are conspiring to make Adams show he’s impervious to the vagaries of QB play and training. “Listed here are your millstones, Davante. Carry them!”

16. Tony Pollard, DAL, RB — (15.73): Has by no means finished it, however we’re paying a “he’ll do it” value. Can he be a bell calf even, by no means thoughts an precise bell cow?

17. Patrick Mahomes, KC, QB — (17.45): Taking a QB this early is the way in which you are feeling a participant quick for the remainder of the season, however in the long run at the very least you’ve secured essentially the most fungible commodity in our recreation.

18. Cooper Kupp, LAR, WR — (19.28): Meet the brand new ADP. So many causes to run away from the participant — age, harm, harm historical past, QB uncertainty, unhealthy crew going nowhere.

19. Jaylen Waddle, MIA, WR — (19.95): Fell so woefully wanting Tyreek Hill in targets — 30% much less final yr. So that you’re betting on continued monster effectivity with a QB the league appeared to determine after we final noticed him.

20. Chris Olave, NO, WR — (21.18): Humorous how Davante Adams was punished for Derek Carr at QB and now Olave is anticipated to interrupt out with Carr. A TD each 30 targets in 2022.

21. Jalen Hurts, PHI, QB — (22.18): Quarterbacks simply flying up the draft boards like Sport Cease inventory within the 2021 quick squeeze, forcing all of the lemmings to purchase at inflated costs.

22. Derrick Henry, TEN, RB — (22.2): 6-foot-3+ operating backs who had 200-plus PPR fantasy factors at age 30: Chuck Muncie 1983, 40 years in the past. (Henry misses 2023 being his age 30 season by 5 days). That’s it.

23. Josh Allen, BUF, QB — (22.55): The groups that draft these QBs this excessive haven’t any QB benefit towards seven different groups and a determined drawback at RB/WR towards 4 different groups. The Payments expressed frustration with Allen’s frequent (reckless) operating, the lynchpin to his fantasy scoring.

24. DeVonta Smith, PHI, WR — (22.67): The second head of a receiving Hydra in a passing offense anticipated to be backside third in goal quantity.

25. Josh Jacobs, LV, RB — (24.38): It’s only a medical proven fact that 400-touch RBs flip into tremendous porcelain the subsequent season.

26. Calvin Ridley, JAC, WR — (26.83): In the event you liked the after-effects of the Deshaun Watson layoff, you now get to see what occurs with a WR who hasn’t had a snap since October of 2021.

27. Tee Higgins, CIN, WR — (26.93): 101-target tempo within the 12 video games he shared the sector with Ja’Marr Chase.

28. DK Metcalf, SEA, WR — (29.05): Geno Smith’s first 12 video games of 2022: 8.1 yards per try, six picks. Final 5 video games of 2022: 6.2 yards per try, 5 picks. Has the clock already struck midnight?

29. Keenan Allen, LAC, WR — (31.91): Vitality vampires drain their victims by regaling them with Keenan Allen recreation logs.

30. Jahmyr Gibbs, DET, RB — (33.16): The brand new C.J. Spiller, RB64 in PPR factors per recreation as a rookie (2010). Spiller was the ninth total choose in the true NFL draft and is Gibbs’ high comp on Participant Profiler. Bon appétit!

31. Mark Andrews, BAL, TE — (33.8): Averages 11.2 factors per recreation if we take away the 2021 season, and has his most crowded receiving room on paper in his profession.

32. Rhamondre Stevenson, NE, RB — (34.58): Hilariously has not moved in ADP after the crew imported name-brand veteran Ezekiel Elliott to share carries. Few have finished much less to earn as many targets as Stevenson in 2022.

33. Najee Harris, PIT, RB — (34.73): The brand new Ezekiel Elliott to Jaylen Warren’s Tony Pollard. Take pleasure in!

34. Deebo Samuel, SF, WR — (35.83): By far the most costly 49ers receiver, so logic would say he’s by far the perfect in actual life, besides he decidedly is just not (George Kittle).

35. Joe Burrow, CIN, QB — (36.46): “What if everybody drafts a QB within the first three rounds?” mother asks after asking what would we do if everybody jumped off a bridge.

36. Travis Etienne, JAC, RB — (37.15): First drive of the season. It’s first-and-goal on the three-yard line. What RB is on the sector for Jacksonville, Etienne or Tank Bigsby? Possibly the TD regression isn’t going to be constructive.

37. Lamar Jackson, BAL, QB — (37.53): One other QB? Has everybody gone loopy? We’re all going to have beginning QBs, children.

38. Amari Cooper, CLE, WR — (37.65): The Rodney Dangerfield of large receivers. If QB Deshaun Watson performed in a sandbox final yr, the cat would have saved masking him up.

39. Joe Mixon, CIN, RB — (38.95): A Kirkland-level expertise sporting a reputation model.

40. D.J. Moore, CHI, WR — (39.19): The broad aspect of the barn that Justin Fields will probably be making an attempt mightily to hit.

41. Justin Herbert, LAC, QB — (40.05): Mr. Small Ball. The proverbial house run hitter who steps to the plate each at-bat gunning for a single.

42. Christian Watson, GB, WR — (41.97): Has been within the league for 5 minutes and already has torn a knee, a torn hamstring and been concussed. Additionally had hamstring points in school.

43. DeAndre Hopkins, TEN, WR — (43.21): Laborious to take a WR within the Prime 50 when nobody drafts his QB within the Prime 30. It could be unprecedented, really.

44. Drake London, ATL, WR — (45.6): 30.5% goal share with Desmond Ridder, so 3.05 targets per recreation is assured.

45. Aaron Jones, GB, RB — (47.05): We dream about 300 carries for RBs, however even 200 is a query for Jones. He’s additionally a under common receiver (5.7 yards per goal) on a crew that’s going to most likely rating loads lower than 2020-2022, given the unknown at QB.

46. T.J. Hockenson, MIN, TE — (48.23): Mr. Inefficiency for Minnesota (6.0 yards per goal). His Y/T is twentieth out of 23 MIN TEs within the goal period (min. 50 targets). Between Jermaine Wiggins and Visanthe Shiancoe — elite firm!

47. Trevor Lawrence, JAC, QB — (50.75): Early-round QB is an indictment of the whole trade. Every thing dumb is dumb once more. Hey, the QBs rating essentially the most, so they need to be the primary 30 picks — amirite!?

48. Darren Waller, NYG, TE — (50.9): The Giants are transferring on from Kenny Golladay by buying a TE whose star has light just like Golladay’s when the Giants signed him. Waller: 9.8 yards/goal in 2019 and eight.0 since.

49. Justin Fields, CHI, QB — (51.68): QB inflation is an indictment of Bidenomics, but nobody talks about it! Two thirds of groups set an early-round choose on fireplace at QB. I see a path to dramatically rising win likelihood. Possibly draft QBs based mostly on 2000-2021 and never 2022?

50. Diontae Johnson, PIT, WR — (53.03): Combines horrible total effectivity with horrible landing effectivity. How can we are saying no? Johnson would have wanted 167 targets final yr to achieve 1,000 yards and a multiverse to have scored a TD.

(Prime picture: Nick Cammett/Getty Photographs)