Hurricane Hilary path and timeline: Here’s when and where the storm is projected to hit California

Hurricane Hilary is predicted to hit Southern California with heavy rainfall as early as this weekend after it makes its approach up Mexico’s Baja California peninsula. 

Forecasters stated the storm is predicted to supply 3 to six inches of rainfall, with most quantities of 10 inches, throughout parts of Baja California by means of Sunday night time, with the potential for flash flooding. 

There’ll doubtless be “damaging wind gusts,” particularly at greater elevations, within the space, and swells alongside the coast, Greg Postel, a hurricane and storm specialist on the Climate Channel, advised CBS Information.

Hurricane Hilary off the Mexican coast early on August 18, 2023.

Nationwide Hurricane Middle / NOAA

The place is Hurricane Hilary’s projected path?

As of early Friday, Hurricane Hilary was situated about 400 miles south of Cabo San Lucas, Mexico, with most sustained winds of 145 mph, making it a “main” Class 4, the NHC stated, including that it’s “massive and highly effective.” 

The storm was shifting west-northwest at 13 mph, with a flip towards the northwest anticipated Friday morning, adopted by a flip towards the north-northwest and north on Saturday, in response to the middle.

Hurricane Hilary’s projected path as of two a.m. EDT on August 18, 2023.

Nationwide Hurricane Middle

When will Hurricane Hilary hit the coast of California?

The middle of the storm will strategy the Baja California peninsula over the weekend, NHC stated. 

The storm, which isn’t anticipated to be a hurricane by the point it reaches California, is about to influence the southwestern U.S. with heavy rainfall beginning Friday by means of early subsequent week, “peaking on Sunday and Monday,” in response to the Nationwide Hurricane Middle.

“It’s uncommon — certainly practically unprecedented within the trendy document — to have a tropical system like this transfer by means of Southern California,” Postel advised CBS Information. 

The final time Southern California was hit by a tropical storm was in 1939, earlier than storms got names, CBS Information senior climate and local weather producer David Parkinson stated. A number of storms that had been hurricanes or tropical storms have impacted the state since then, however that they had weakened to sub-tropical techniques by that point, Parkinson famous.

The projected path of the storm confirmed it may make landfall wherever from the Baja California Peninsula to as far north as Santa Barbara, California. One mannequin confirmed the heaviest rain hitting the Palm Springs space after the storm makes landfall.

“But when this storm observe strikes simply 40 miles to the west … now you’re taking all of this heavy rain … and also you shift it now into parts of Orange County. You shift it into parts of the [Inland Empire] which might be very nicely populated,” Parkinson stated. 

Both scenario can be trigger for concern, Parkinson famous. The desert terrain round Palm Springs wouldn’t be capable of deal with the quantity of rain anticipated and, if the observe shifts west, the areas scorched by latest wildfires would even be inundated.

Hilary storm is more likely to produce landslides and mudslides in sure areas lately burned by wildfires and storm surges alongside components of the southern Baja Peninsula and the Gulf of California coast, the Climate Channel stories.

“You are a winter-like storm now in the summertime in locations that aren’t used to this quantity of rain,” Parkinson stated.

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