NFL Power Rankings: Setting realistic rest-of-season expectations for all 32 teams

Welcome to Week 13 of the NFL common season — we at the moment are two-thirds of the way in which by.

Our energy panel — a gaggle of greater than 80 writers, editors and TV personalities — has evaluated how groups are stacking up by 12 weeks.

After the Jacksonville Jaguars took residence a dramatic come-from-behind win over the Baltimore Ravens, the place does that go away the Ravens within the rankings? The Cincinnati Bengals and Washington Commanders received on Sunday, so how shut are they to the highest 10? And naturally, crucial query, is there a brand new No. 1?

Along with our up to date rankings, we checked in with NFL Nation reporters throughout the league and requested them what the expectations for the remainder of the season are for every staff coming into December.

Now, let’s check out the up to date rankings.

Leap to a staff:
NE | NO | NYG | NYJ | PHI | PIT | SF


Week 12 rating: 1sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Successful the AFC’s prime playoff seed.

At 9-2, the Chiefs have the very best report within the convention and a schedule conducive to holding on to their lead over the remainder of the sector. Successful one other Tremendous Bowl can also be a practical aim with QB Patrick Mahomes having an MVP-like season. He has thrown for over 300 yards in six straight video games. — Adam Teicher


Week 12 rating: 2sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Representing the NFC in Tremendous Bowl LVII.

They’ve the very best report within the league at 10-1, an MVP candidate in Jalen Hurts and a cold-weather-friendly offense that may suck the life out of you on the bottom and rip it up by the air when want be. The protection is opportunistic and leads the league in takeaways (23). The Eagles are as deep and well-rounded as some other staff in soccer, and have already crushed the convention’s prime contenders within the Vikings and Cowboys, although the Cowboys have been with out Dak Prescott in that Week 6 matchup. The rematch on Christmas Eve in Dallas ought to be enjoyable. — Tim McManus


Week 12 rating: 3sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Successful a Tremendous Bowl.

It is sensible though the Payments will not be trying as sharp for the reason that staff’s bye. These subsequent three weeks will go a good distance towards figuring out simply how attainable successful all of it might be for Buffalo. Securing home-field benefit within the playoffs might be a precedence. The staff is at the moment 0-2 in AFC East play and has three straight video games in opposition to division opponents — at Patriots, vs. Jets and vs. Dolphins — subsequent. If the Payments can come out on prime in these video games, there isn’t any cause they could not go all the way in which. — Alaina Getzenberg



Joe Fortenbaugh explains why he takes the Patriots plus the factors for his or her Thursday evening matchup in opposition to the Payments.


Week 12 rating: 5gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Attending to the Tremendous Bowl.

Why not? The Cowboys are 8-3. They beat each of final yr’s Tremendous Bowl groups. They received at Minnesota. They get an opportunity to point out how good they are often with a Christmas Eve assembly in opposition to the Eagles. They’ve a prime protection. They’ve a operating sport that may management the tempo of a sport. They’ve a passing sport that has improved. What they do not have is a historical past of rising to the event. That does not imply they can not. There is no such thing as a cause to concern any of the heavy hitters within the NFC. — Todd Archer


Week 12 rating: 4rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Successful the AFC East.

The Dolphins are within the driver’s seat to win their first division title since 2008, and proper now, they’re taking part in higher than the Payments — in opposition to whom they at the moment personal a tiebreaker. Their Week 15 showdown might find yourself deciding the division, though Miami does have two extra division video games in Weeks 16 and 17. Followers in western New York aren’t going to love listening to it, however the Dolphins have positioned themselves in place to win the division, and it is what they need to count on transferring ahead. — Marcel Louis-Jacques


Week 12 rating: 6sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Break up their ultimate six video games, win the NFC North and host two playoff video games.

It’s sensible to suppose the Vikings can have a report of not less than 12-5 (or higher). It is true the Vikings have the seventh-easiest remaining schedule, and that there are solely two groups on it with successful information (Jets and Giants). However they nonetheless should play all three NFC North rivals on the street, and it is robust to venture a sweep there even in a down yr for the division. — Kevin Seifert


Week 12 rating: 8gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Going to the Tremendous Bowl.

The Niners have not shied away from this being the target, even going as far as to inform the world they imagine they’ll once they traded for operating again Christian McCaffrey. Something much less can be thought-about a disappointment, with the query then turning into whether or not they can really win it. Whether or not they can knock off a staff just like the Kansas Metropolis Chiefs is a distinct concern, however realistically, this staff has every little thing it must not less than be within the massive sport. — Nick Wagoner


Week 12 rating: 11gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Repeating as AFC champions.

Whereas it would appear to be a stretch for a staff at the moment seeded sixth within the AFC standings, the defending convention champions are actually discovering their type as they enter December. The protection stays a stable unit, and the offense is among the finest within the league. Cincinnati ranks fourth within the NFL in factors per drive and offensive factors per sport — although WR Ja’Marr Chase has missed the previous 4 video games with a hip damage. The staff additionally owns the AFC’s finest internet landing differential (plus-13). — Ben Child


Week 12 rating: 9sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Successful the AFC South.

Regardless of a irritating loss to the Bengals, the Titans have a two-game lead over the Colts within the AFC South. All issues are pointing towards the Titans successful the division, though they’ve two video games in opposition to the Jaguars on the horizon. Tennessee’s passing sport is beginning to come alive, however the speeding assault hasn’t been the identical over the previous three weeks. The Titans might be a harmful staff if they’ll discover stability on offense. And the protection hasn’t allowed an opposing staff to attain greater than 20 factors in eight weeks. — Turron Davenport


Week 12 rating: 7rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Successful the AFC North.

Regardless of getting upset by the Jaguars, the Ravens have a positive schedule the remainder of the way in which. Baltimore performs 5 straight video games in opposition to groups with dropping information earlier than taking part in on the Bengals within the regular-season finale. That is why Baltimore has a 78.2% likelihood to win its first division title since 2019. The larger query is how far the Ravens can advance within the postseason. Lamar Jackson is 1-3 within the playoffs for his profession, throwing three touchdowns and 5 interceptions. — Jamison Hensley


Week 12 rating: 15gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Ending 10-7 to snag a wild-card spot.

It will not be simple, particularly with 4 of the remaining six on the street, however the Jets are 4-1 on the street this season, and protection travels. They’re ranked fourth in scoring protection, and if the Mike White-led offense may be middle-of-the-road, the Jets ought to be wonderful as a result of they’re 6-0 when scoring not less than 18 factors. — Wealthy Cimini


Week 12 rating: 13gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Making the postseason.

The Commanders maintain the seventh spot, which is exceptional contemplating they have been 1-4 after 5 video games this season. It will not be simple, as 4 of their ultimate 5 video games are in opposition to groups with successful information — the New York Giants (7-4) twice, San Francisco (7-4) and Dallas (8-3). The Commanders additionally play Cleveland (4-7) — Washington is 6-1 vs. groups at the moment beneath .500. It is possible that the Commanders should go not less than 2-3, so splitting with the Giants and successful one different sport, particularly vs. an NFC opponent for tiebreaker functions. Three wins in 5 video games? E book the postseason. — John Keim


Week 12 rating: 10rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Making the playoffs.

The Giants are sitting sixth within the NFC. It is shaping as much as be a three-team race between them, the Commanders and the Seahawks. The Giants already misplaced to Seattle however have two video games in a three-week stretch in opposition to Washington. Successful certainly one of two would put them into a reasonably stable place. It is totally attainable to get into the postseason with 9 wins within the NFC, however splitting the ultimate six would get the Giants to a wholesome 10 wins — and full a wildly overachieving season. — Jordan Raanan


Week 12 rating: 12rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Attending to 10 wins.

The Seahawks have been cruising towards not less than that many once they have been driving a four-game win streak, however they’ve come again right down to earth with back-to-back losses, together with a disappointing extra time defeat to the Raiders in Week 12. Ten wins continues to be an affordable expectation, although it should require beating not less than one good staff (both the 49ers, Chiefs or Jets) along with caring for enterprise within the three video games during which they’re going to possible be favored (Rams twice and Panthers). It ought to assist that 4 of their ultimate six are at Lumen Subject. Then once more, they only misplaced to the beforehand three-win Raiders at residence. — Brady Henderson


Week 12 rating: 14rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Ending above .500.

Invoice Belichick’s 6-5 staff has the next remaining schedule: vs. Buffalo, at Arizona, at Las Vegas, vs. Cincinnati, vs. Miami and at Buffalo. Squeezing out three wins would guarantee a end over .500, however the Patriots may want 4 to qualify for the postseason. — Mike Reiss


Week 12 rating: 16sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Successful the NFC South.

Successful the division is in jeopardy after slipping one sport beneath .500 and holding only a half-game lead over the Falcons. The Bucs’ offense can not seem to clear the 17-point threshold, and the protection continues to be struggling to place collectively full video games. On prime of that, the teaching workers has made questionable choices with playcalling, sport administration and personnel — most notably the choice to not use all timeouts previous to the tip of regulation in opposition to Cleveland. If the Bucs attain the postseason, it is arduous to see them being greater than a one-and-done. — Jenna Laine



Ryan Clark weighs in on Tom Brady and Buccaneers’ underwhelming efficiency this season.


Week 12 rating: 17sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Making the playoffs.

The Chargers bolstered the roster over the offseason with the intention of constructing a deep postseason run. That aim has largely been derailed due to an awesome variety of accidents which have resulted in edge rusher Joey Bosa, cornerback J.C. Jackson, left sort out Rashawn Slater and defensive lineman Austin Johnson being positioned on injured reserve. Nevertheless, the Bolts nonetheless have a shot at making the playoffs for the primary time since 2018, with their possibilities enhancing to 60% following a gutsy resolution — as coach Brandon Staley opted to go for the 2-point conversion somewhat than kick an additional level and go to extra time in a Week 12 win over the Cardinals. — Lindsey Thiry


Week 12 rating: 18sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Being within the playoff dialog coming into Week 17.

Atlanta is a half-game out of first place within the NFC South and faces one staff with a successful report — Baltimore — the remainder of the season. Plus, the Falcons nonetheless have video games in opposition to the Saints (Week 15) and Bucs (Week 18), which might spell the distinction between being NFC South champs and out of the playoffs. The truth that we’re nonetheless speaking about this speaks to how Atlanta has overachieved this season and put collectively robust sport plans to maximise what the staff does effectively (run the ball, management clock). — Michael Rothstein


Week 12 rating: 19sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Getting a more in-depth take a look at what they’ve in Jordan Love.

After Love got here on in reduction for Aaron Rodgers on Sunday evening vs. the Eagles, it opened the dialog of what the Packers ought to do the remainder of their season, given their report. It could possibly be a fragile state of affairs relying on what Rodgers needs to do subsequent season, however his accidents (to his thumb and ribs) make it a little bit simpler to take a seat him. The underside line is the Packers have to see what they’ve in Love, and taking part in a number of weeks in a row will assist make that clearer. — Rob Demovsky


Week 12 rating: 27gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: A six-game win streak.

The Raiders, coming off two straight OT wins, appear to have rediscovered the fortunate appeal that they had in closing final season with 4 straight wins to get into the playoffs. The Raiders’ subsequent 4 video games are in opposition to groups with a mixed report of 18-25 within the Chargers (6-5), Rams (3-8), Patriots (6-5) and Steelers (3-7), earlier than closing out in opposition to the 49ers (7-4) and Chiefs (9-2). — Paul Gutierrez


Week 12 rating: 21sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Evaluating younger gamers.

The Saints mathematically have a shot on the NFC South like everybody else, however they’ve squandered each alternative they’ve gotten to make any progress within the division by beating themselves with poor play. Whereas a best-case situation has them successful out to complete with a successful season, a extra sensible one has them getting extra snaps for gamers like Trevor Penning, Rashid Shaheed and Alontae Taylor to get them prepared for subsequent season. — Katherine Terrell

Week 12 rating: 26gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Getting to 6 victories.

It does not sound like a lofty aim, however that will be probably the most video games the franchise has received in a season since 2019. Since then, the Jaguars have received a complete of eight. They’ve received two of their previous three, together with an upset of Baltimore this previous Sunday, and in the event that they by some means go on a roll — and that is asking quite a bit, since they play 4 playoff contenders — they might actually have a likelihood to complete 8-9 — which might mark solely the second time previously 12 seasons that they did not end with double-digit losses. — Michael DiRocco


Week 12 rating: 23sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Doubling their win complete from final season.

The expectations have been increased in 12 months 2 of the Dan Campbell period. Though they acquired off to a tough 1-6 begin, these days the Lions have been among the many hottest groups within the league, successful three of their previous 4 video games. The Lions won’t end at .500 this yr, however they do have a chance to double their win complete from 3-13-1 in 2021 to not less than six wins this season, which is a giant enchancment as they proceed to take steps towards their rebuild. Detroit has not received six video games since 2018. — Eric Woodyard


Week 12 rating: 29gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Hanging across the playoff dialog.

Anticipating to make the AFC playoffs could be an excessive amount of for a staff with a report of 4-7. However it’s not unthinkable that Cleveland might not less than hold within the playoff image. The Browns can afford just one extra loss of their ultimate six video games, at most. Even then, they may need assistance elsewhere from a loaded AFC. But when the Browns can keep away from being mathematically eradicated in December, that will represent successful at this level for a staff that continues to be an extended shot to make the postseason. — Jake Trotter


Week 12 rating: 20rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Successful one, perhaps two video games.

The ultimate 5 video games are not any joke for the Cardinals, who fell to 4-8 on Sunday. With the Patriots, Broncos, Bucs, Falcons and 49ers left, two of these appear winnable on paper after how this season has performed out. The turnaround that coach Kliff Kingsbury talked about taking place hasn’t materialized and certain will not. However the query down the stretch might be whether or not his job is protected in 2023. — Josh Weinfuss



Keyshawn Johnson breaks down why it might be arduous for the Broncos to half methods with Russell Wilson or coach Nathaniel Hackett.


Week 12 rating: 28gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Creating Kenny Pickett.

The Steelers aren’t making the playoffs this yr. Though the AFC North is in a down yr, that is the fact they face after beginning 4-7. However the again half of the season may be all about growing the rookie quarterback, who was unceremoniously inserted at halftime of the Week 4 loss to the Jets. The ultimate weeks are Pickett’s on-the-job coaching and may set up a baseline for him to construct from for his second season. — Brooke Pryor


Week 12 rating: 22rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Consider the roster for subsequent season.

That is the second consecutive yr the Colts have fallen wanting their very own preseason expectations. It could be time to take a step again and reevaluate the place this roster is heading into 2023. The Colts have already fired their head coach and are anticipated to conduct a reliable teaching search when the season ends. The modifications will not cease there, contemplating their obvious wants and the dearth of manufacturing they’re getting from an offensive line that’s the NFL’s most costly. One thing the Colts may also have to think about is whether or not they wish to preserve Matt Ryan on the roster subsequent season to mentor one other QB. The final 5 video games might assist decide that. — Stephen Holder


Week 12 rating: 31gn arrow

Reasonable expectation: Staying within the NFC South combine.

Solely certainly one of Carolina’s final 5 opponents has a successful report, and the Panthers have already got crushed two of them (Tampa Bay, New Orleans). The protection is taking part in effectively sufficient to maintain Carolina in video games if quarterback Sam Darnold can merely handle the offense with out making catastrophic errors. The Panthers are an extended shot for positive, however additionally they have been in 2014 once they received the final 4 video games to win the division at 7-8-1. — David Newton


Week 12 rating: 25rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Specializing in Justin Fields’ improvement.

The Bears ought to put all their efforts towards constructing for 2023. When Fields returns from an damage to his non-throwing shoulder, every little thing ought to be geared towards serving to him develop his abilities as a passer and with the ability to win from the pocket. Fields has but to aim greater than 28 passes or throw for greater than 208 yards in a sport this season. Due to this fact, the Bears’ aim of making a sustainable offense for his or her future franchise quarterback must be the focus the remainder of the way in which. — Courtney Cronin


Week 12 rating: 24rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Discovering future contributors on this roster.

One of many few shiny spots to the variety of accidents the Rams have had this season is that the staff is getting an prolonged take a look at the depth it has. At 3-8, the Rams’ focus may be on determining whether or not a few of these gamers can play an even bigger function subsequent season. Coach Sean McVay mentioned Sunday that the analysis has “acquired to happen,” and on account of these accidents, “guys are going to get some alternatives such as you’ve seen every of the final couple weeks.” That group might embody operating again Kyren Williams and the group of large receivers behind the injured Cooper Kupp and Allen Robinson II: Van Jefferson, Tutu Atwell, Ben Skowronek and Brandon Powell. — Sarah Barshop


Week 12 rating: 30rd arrow

Reasonable expectation: Not being the lowest-scoring staff in franchise historical past.

The Broncos, who’re final within the league and averaging 14.3 factors per sport, have to cease their present tumble. They’ve scored fewer than 10 factors in 4 video games this season. Their lowest-scoring (non-strike yr) staff in historical past scored 196 factors; that is 14 factors per sport in a 14-game AFL season. Their lowest-scoring staff of the 16-game period (post-1978) was in 1992, once they scored 262 factors, or 16.38 factors per sport. The Broncos, with 157 factors, are at the moment the lowest-scoring staff for the reason that 2000 Browns. — Jeff Legwold


Week 12 rating: 32sw ye 40

Reasonable expectation: Dameon Pierce attending to 1,000 speeding yards.

Pierce has 788 yards speeding to this point this season. The fourth-round rookie is averaging 71 yards a sport, however not too long ago defenses have centered their sport plan on stopping him. Previously two video games in opposition to the Commanders and Dolphins, Pierce has totaled 16 yards. If that continues, he will not hit 1,000 yards. The offensive line should return to creating holes for Pierce, and the passing assault should take the strain off him for Pierce to have an opportunity to hit that milestone. — DJ Bien-Aime