What to know for NFL Week 6: Score picks, bold predictions, fantasy tips, key stats for every game

The Week 6 NFL schedule for the 2023 season is stacked with nice matchups, and we’ve you coated with what it’s essential know heading into the weekend. Our NFL Nation reporters deliver us the most important keys to each recreation and a daring prediction for every matchup.

Moreover, ESPN Stats & Info offers an enormous stat to know and a betting nugget for every contest, and our Soccer Energy Index (FPI) goes contained in the numbers with a recreation projection. Analytics author Seth Walder picks out every matchup’s greatest X issue, and fantasy analyst Eric Moody arms out useful fantasy soccer intel. Lastly, Walder and Moody give us ultimate rating picks for each recreation. Every thing you need to know is right here in a single spot that can assist you prepare for a loaded weekend of NFL soccer.

Let’s get into the complete Week 6 slate, together with a Ravens-Titans showdown in London, a Belichick-McDaniels reunion in Vegas and an NFC North matchup between the Vikings and Bears. All of it culminates with a “Monday Night time Soccer” matchup between the Cowboys and Chargers on ESPN. (Recreation instances are Sunday until in any other case famous.)

Leap to a matchup:

Thursday: KC 19, DEN 8
Bye: GB, PIT



9:30 a.m. ET | NFL Community | Unfold: BAL -4 (41)

Storyline to observe: The Titans have scored touchdowns on solely 35.3% of their purple zone visits this season, touchdown them in a tie with the Texans for third worst within the NFL. In the meantime, the Ravens’ purple zone protection has given up touchdowns on an NFL-low 25% of opposing offenses’ visits contained in the 20-yard line. Getting seven factors as a substitute of kicking discipline objectives may very well be the distinction, as three of the Titans’ 5 video games this season have been determined by one rating. — Turron Davenport

Daring prediction: Zay Flowers will rating his first profession TD. The Ravens rookie receiver is definitely due; Flowers is tied with Jaguars tight finish Evan Engram for probably the most catches this season (29) with out reaching the tip zone. However the Titans’ secondary has been good, giving up simply 5 passing touchdowns to this point. — Jamison Hensley

Stat to know: The Titans have scored fewer than 30 factors in 23 straight video games, the longest energetic streak within the NFL and the longest in franchise historical past.

Matchup X issue: Titans defensive lineman Denico Autry. When lined up as an edge rusher, Autry has a 24% move rush win fee, which might rank proper on the perimeter of the highest 10 if he certified. And he has 4 sacks. Autry has the potential to disrupt the Baltimore move recreation. — Walder

Accidents: Ravens | Titans

What to know for fantasy: Titans cornerback Kristian Fulton has given up 267 yards this season. Josh Downs, Ja’Marr Chase, Michael Pittman Jr. and others have exploited this matchup all season. Jackson and Flowers ought to do the identical. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Each groups have had 4 of their first 5 video games this season go below the overall, together with three straight. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Ravens 28, Titans 23
Walder’s choose: Ravens 24, Titans 20
FPI prediction: BAL, 68.7% (by a mean of 6.7 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Beckham says ankle higher, however he has to enhance … Titans sticking to similar routine as 2018 in the hunt for first win in London … Ravens receivers will ‘be higher’ after 5-drop recreation … Titans’ Fulton on penalties: Exhausting to play towards refs and WRs


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: SF -6.5 (37)

Storyline to observe: This recreation pits one of many NFL’s greatest offenses towards one among its greatest defenses. The 49ers are No. 2 in offensive effectivity (87.1), whereas the Browns are No. 1 in defensive (87.0). The 49ers have scored 30 factors in eight straight video games, the fifth-longest streak in NFL historical past — however the Browns have given up simply 5 offensive touchdowns all season. — Jake Trotter

Daring prediction: 49ers defensive finish Nick Bosa will get three sacks. Regardless of getting constant stress, Bosa has simply 1.5 sacks via the primary 5 video games. However there’s cause to consider a breakout is coming. Browns quarterbacks are averaging 3.09 seconds to throw, the second-slowest common within the league. Most groups emphasize getting the ball out fast towards the Niners, however that hasn’t been a energy of Cleveland. Regardless who begins at QB for the Browns, Bosa can get his sack complete again on monitor right here. — Nick Wagoner

Stat to know: This will probably be Cleveland defensive finish Myles Garrett’s 89th profession recreation. His 80 sacks are the third most by any participant in his first 90 profession video games since 1982, when sacks turned official, after Corridor of Famer Reggie White (98) and the Steelers’ T.J. Watt (83.5).

Matchup X issue: 49ers offensive deal with Trent Williams. One of many solely methods the Browns can win this recreation is that if Garrett takes over — which he can. However happily for the Niners, Garrett usually traces up towards the left deal with, and that is the place the energy of their offensive line lies. — Walder

Accidents: 49ers | Browns

What to know for fantasy: San Francisco permits the eighth-fewest fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. Managers who’re pondering of beginning Jerome Ford ought to think about different choices. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The 49ers are 4-0-1 towards the unfold (ATS) this season with three straight covers. They’re the one crew left with out an ATS loss. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: 49ers 28, Browns 14
Walder’s choose: 49ers 23, Browns 17
FPI prediction: SF, 66.2% (by a mean of 5.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: 49ers receivers should filter defenders earlier than catching passes … How Jim Schwartz has reworked the Browns’ protection … 49ers ship sturdy assertion to NFL with domination of Cowboys



Kittle on 49ers’ scorching begin: We needed to hit the bottom operating this season

George Kittle joins Pat McAfee to interrupt down the crew’s motivation going into this season after their loss to the Eagles within the NFC Championship recreation.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: CIN -2.5 (45)

Storyline to observe: This recreation will probably be decided by how effectively Bengals QB Joe Burrow and the offense reply to Seahawks’ move rush. Seattle ranks fourth within the NFL in move rush win fee (55%), and its defensive entrance has the Bengals’ full consideration. That group will probably be a terrific check for Burrow’s mobility as he continues to enhance from his calf harm. — Ben Child

Daring prediction: The Seahawks will blitz Burrow early and sometimes. When pressured this season, Burrow ranks close to the underside of the NFL in yards per try (3.1, thirty first), completion proportion (36.4%, twenty sixth) and QBR (10.7, twenty fourth). That is seemingly a product of his injured calf, although it did not appear to have an effect on him as a lot final week. With Jamal Adams again from his concussion, the Seahawks — coming off their 11-sack efficiency towards the Giants — will come after Burrow till he proves he can beat their blitzes along with his arm and/or legs. — Brady Henderson

Stat to know: The Bengals have received six straight regular-season video games towards NFC opponents, the second-longest energetic win streak vs. the opposing convention. (The Eagles have received eight straight vs. the AFC).

Matchup X issue: Seahawks cornerbacks Riq Woolen and Michael Jackson. The reemergence of the Burrow-Ja’Marr Chase connection final week makes the Bengals harmful once more. But when the Seahawks’ corners can decelerate Chase, the Bengals’ offense may scuffle with Tee Higgins questionable to play. — Walder

Accidents: Seahawks | Bengals

What to know for fantasy: The Seahawks’ protection has allowed the second-most fantasy factors per recreation to extensive receivers. It’s a good signal for fantasy managers who’ve Burrow, Chase or one other Bengals pass-catcher on their crew. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Seahawks have coated in three straight video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bengals 30, Seahawks 20
Walder’s choose: Seahawks 29, Bengals 21
FPI prediction: SEA, 53.5% (by a mean of 1.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Seahawks traits to observe … Chase known as for the ball, then set a Bengals report … Burrow created ‘particular magic’ in breakout efficiency


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: MIN -2.5 (44.5)

Storyline to observe: Two extensive receivers are within the highlight for this NFC North showdown for contrasting causes. The Vikings will probably be with out Justin Jefferson after a hamstring harm landed him on injured reserve, whereas Chicago’s DJ Moore is coming off a efficiency towards Washington that earned him NFC Offensive Participant of the Week (230 receiving yards, three touchdowns). Jefferson and Moore rank third (571) and fifth (531), respectively, amongst all gamers in receiving yards getting into Week 6. — Courtney Cronin

Daring prediction: Justin Fields may have extra passing yards than Kirk Cousins. Fields has thrown for 617 yards in his previous two video games, the fourth most within the NFL over that stretch. Cousins has the NFL’s second-most passing yards this season (1,498), however the Vikings are sure to dial again their passing recreation within the absence of Jefferson. — Kevin Seifert

Stat to know: The Vikings are 1-4 this season in one-score video games (11-0 final season). They’re the one crew to play in 5 one-score video games in 2023.

Matchup X issue: Moore. He is an offseason acquisition who seems to be figuring out. Along with recording greater than 500 yards in 5 video games, Moore leads all extensive receivers and tight ends within the Receiver Monitoring Metrics’ General Rating (85) — which measures receivers’ skills to get open, make the catch and generate yards after the catch, all relative to expectation. — Walder

Accidents: Vikings | Bears

What to know for fantasy: The Bears’ protection offers up the third-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs. The Vikings ought to see impartial to optimistic recreation move towards Chicago, which bodes effectively for Alexander Mattison’s fantasy outlook. In 4 of his 5 video games this season, he has scored 10 or extra fantasy factors. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: All 5 Bears video games have gone over the overall this season. Vikings video games are 4-1 to the over with three straight overs. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Bears 28, Vikings 24
Walder’s choose: Vikings 34, Bears 20
FPI prediction: MIN, 59.6% (by a mean of three.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cousins says commerce discuss ‘not price my time’ … Coming off 5-sack effort, Bears hoping to energise protection … What’s subsequent for the Vikings with out Jefferson?



Why Matt Bowen sees DJ Moore as a WR1 in Week 6

Matt Bowen explains why DJ Moore needs to be began in all fantasy lineups in Week 6.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: ATL -2.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: This can as soon as once more be an extremely shut recreation — and historical past proves it. The Falcons and Commanders performed in 2021 (Washington received with 33 seconds left) and in 2022 (Marcus Mariota threw an interception within the Washington finish zone with 1:03 remaining), with Washington successful each instances. The large key will probably be on the traces, the place Washington’s gifted defensive entrance will attempt to trigger havoc for Atlanta quarterback Desmond Ridder, who has been sacked 16 instances in 5 video games. — Michael Rothstein

Daring prediction: Washington defensive finish Chase Younger will power a fumble or interception by Ridder. Younger has three sacks in his 4 video games and was extremely energetic within the loss to Chicago in Week 4, with a move rush win fee of 36.4%. — John Keim

Stat to know: Washington quarterback Sam Howell has been sacked an NFL-high 29 instances this season. David Carr (39 in 2002) is the most-sacked quarterback via a crew’s first six video games of a season since sacks had been first tracked in 1963.

Matchup X issue: The Commanders’ move rush. Regardless of having large names, the Commanders rank simply twenty sixth in move rush win fee. Ridder has taken sacks at a higher-than-average 9% fee, so this can be a large alternative to get the unit going. — Walder

Accidents: Commanders | Falcons

What to know for fantasy: Managers ought to mood expectations with regards to talent place gamers on the Commanders. The Falcons’ protection is permitting solely 3.8 yards per dashing try to opposing operating backs. Atlanta’s protection additionally does a terrific job containing extensive receivers, giving up the sixth-fewest fantasy factors per recreation to the place. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Falcons are 0-4 ATS of their previous 4 video games. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Falcons 23, Commanders 19
Walder’s choose: Falcons 19, Commanders 16
FPI prediction: ATL, 58% (by a mean of two.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Rivera: No employees modifications amid Commanders’ skid … Pitts trending in the proper course … Three causes for Commanders’ Thursday night time flop vs. Bears


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: MIA -13.5 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: Regardless of their 0-5 report, the Panthers’ aggressive protection has discovered some success this season in getting after opposing quarterbacks. Carolina has the fourth-highest sack fee within the NFL, coupled with the second-best third-down protection (29.8%). Nonetheless, the Panthers additionally personal by far the league’s worst anticipated factors allowed (EPA) when defending the run (minus-14.4) and can face a Dolphins offense that ranks second in EPA per rush (16.8). — Marcel Louis-Jacques

Daring prediction: The Dolphins will not high the 70 factors they’d earlier this 12 months towards Denver — however will high 50. The Carolina protection may very well be with out two of its secondary starters and probably three if cornerback Donte Jackson has a setback. Miami will get some assist from its protection with a landing towards a Panthers offense that surrendered 21 factors off turnovers final week in a 42-24 loss to the Lions. — David Newton

Stat to know: The Dolphins have 2,568 complete yards of offense this season, probably the most via 5 video games in NFL historical past. Miami wants 489 extra Sunday to move the 2000 Rams (3,056) for many yards via six video games.

Matchup X issue: Excessive unexpected occasions. I am making an attempt to think about which participant goes to swing this recreation and, effectively, it’ll take greater than that. Wild climate? Weird fumble luck? Tua Tagovailoa waking up on the unsuitable facet of the mattress? The Panthers would possibly want all three. — Walder

Accidents: Panthers | Dolphins

What to know for fantasy: Over the previous 4 video games, Panthers receiver Adam Thielen has averaged 11 targets. In three of these 4 video games, he scored 20 or extra fantasy factors. Thielen needs to be busy towards the Dolphins in a matchup the Panthers are more likely to be taking part in from behind. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Panthers are 0-4-1 ATS this season. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Dolphins 42, Panthers 23
Walder’s choose: Dolphins 29, Panthers 12
FPI prediction: MIA, 87.6% (by a mean of 15.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: How Tagovailoa formed the trail of Younger … With Achane on IR, Dolphins look to Mostert & Co. to fill the void … Burns vents over Panthers’ struggles in rebuilding 12 months



Is the stress already on Bryce Younger to succeed?

Chuck Pagano, Pat McAfee and A.J. Hawk focus on Bryce Younger’s struggles early in his NFL profession.


1 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: JAX -4 (45.5)

Storyline to observe: Minshew Mania returns to its birthplace. Colts quarterback Gardner Minshew spent his first two seasons with the Jaguars and went 7-13 as a starter in 2019-20 earlier than the crew drafted Trevor Lawrence No. 1 general in 2021. The larger return, nevertheless, is Indy operating again Jonathan Taylor to a bigger position. He has rushed for 522 yards and three touchdowns in 5 video games towards the Jaguars. The Jaguars’ protection has been superb towards the run to this point, permitting 81.6 yards per recreation (ranked fifth within the NFL). That is the matchup that can decide the end result. — Mike DiRocco

Daring prediction: The Colts will rush for a mixed 200-plus yards after averaging 148 yards the previous 4 video games. This would be the second recreation with Taylor again on the sphere, and coach Shane Steichen stated he intends to offer Taylor an elevated position Sunday alongside veteran Zack Moss. The Colts are anticipated to lean closely on their operating recreation, with beginning quarterback Anthony Richardson now on injured reserve and anticipated to overlook 4 or extra video games due to a shoulder harm. — Stephen Holder

Stat to know: Lawrence has a 75 QBR (rating fourth within the NFL) and a 7.7% off-target proportion (second lowest within the NFL) towards zone protection this season. That is necessary as a result of the Colts use zone protection on the Tenth-highest fee within the NFL.

Matchup X issue: Colts edge rusher Kwity Paye. He is taking part in reverse Jaguars rookie deal with Anton Harrison (70.1%), who has the worst move block win fee at deal with within the league. Paye has an opportunity to throw Lawrence off his recreation. — Walder

Accidents: Colts | Jaguars

What to know for fantasy: The Colts’ protection has given up the ninth-most fantasy factors per recreation to extensive receivers. Calvin Ridley needs to be in fantasy lineups Sunday. He leads the Jaguars with 15.1 yards per reception. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: Minshew is 8-14 ATS in his previous 22 begins. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Jaguars 28, Colts 23
Walder’s choose: Colts 23, Jaguars 21
FPI prediction: JAX, 65.5% (by a mean of 5.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Maintaining Richardson wholesome already a significant concern for Colts … How the Jaguars handled journey fatigue in preparation for Colts


1 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: NO -1.5 (42.5)

Storyline to observe: Two strengths will conflict Sunday, because the Saints have allowed the sixth-lowest QBR (46.4), and their seven interceptions are tied for third most within the NFL. On the flip facet, Texans rookie quarterback C.J. Stroud is third in passing yards (1,461) and hasn’t thrown an interception in an NFL-record 186 passes. — DJ Bien-Aime

Daring prediction: The Saints will finish Stroud’s historic streak by giving him his first interception. They’ve already tied final season’s interception complete, and so they have an interception in 4 of 5 video games (and a turnover in all of them). With the Saints’ knack for forcing turnovers this season, it looks as if they might come out on high in that regard. — Katherine Terrell

Stat to know: New Orleans operating again Alvin Kamara has 50 profession dashing touchdowns, two shy of tying Mark Ingram for probably the most in Saints historical past. Kamara turned the Saints all-time chief in complete touchdowns (73) final week towards the Patriots, passing Marques Colston.

Matchup X issue: Saints proper deal with Ryan Ramczyk. He is probably the greatest tackles within the league, however he has a key task towards No. 3 general choose Will Anderson Jr. this week. Anderson hasn’t had a sack in 4 video games, however they’re coming, as he ranks fifth in move rush win fee at edge. — Walder

Accidents: Saints | Texans

What to know for fantasy: The Texans’ protection permits the seventh-most fantasy factors per recreation to operating backs, and Kamara has scored 19 or extra fantasy factors in two consecutive video games. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Saints have gone below the overall in 11 straight video games, tied with the 2003 Payments for the longest such streak previously 35 seasons. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Texans 20, Saints 17
Walder’s choose: Texans 27, Saints 17
FPI prediction: NO, 54.3% (by a mean of 1.5 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Might Saints’ stingy D be first to select off Stroud? … Texans really feel ‘very shut’ to getting run recreation, Pierce on monitor … Moreau scores 1st TD since most cancers prognosis … Stroud units report for passes with out choose to start out profession


4:05 p.m. ET | CBS | Unfold: LV -3 (41.5)

Storyline to observe: The Patriots have been outscored by a mixed 72-3 previously two video games. The Raiders’ protection has given up simply 13 factors previously six quarters whereas forcing 4 turnovers in that span. But the teaching staffs are so intimately aware of one another, given so many New England ties on the Raiders’ employees, that current historical past needs to be thrown to the wind. — Paul Gutierrez

Daring prediction: The Patriots, who’ve a league-low two takeaways, will match their season complete towards former Patriots QB Jimmy Garoppolo, who has thrown seven interceptions this season. In the meantime, Raiders kicker Daniel Carlson, who set the NFL report for discipline objectives of 50-plus yards final season (11) however is 0-for-2 on such makes an attempt this 12 months, will ship his first from lengthy vary in 2023. — Mike Reiss

Stat to know: Raiders coach Josh McDaniels is 2-0 towards Patriots coach Invoice Belichick. He seeks to affix Dave Wannstedt as the one coaches to defeat Belichick and the Patriots in every of their first three conferences.

Matchup X issue: Raiders edge rusher Maxx Crosby. All of us noticed what he can do Monday night time towards the Packers. In opposition to a weak Patriots offensive line, the prospect is ripe for a repeat efficiency. — Walder

Accidents: Patriots | Raiders

What to know for fantasy: The Patriots extensive receivers rank close to the underside of the league with regards to creating separation, in accordance with NFL Subsequent Gen Stats. New England’s offensive line additionally ranks thirtieth in move block win fee. It isn’t a terrific mixture for a struggling Patriots passing recreation. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Raiders are 0-3 ATS on quick relaxation below McDaniels, with all three video games going below the overall. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Raiders 17, Patriots 14
Walder’s choose: Patriots 15, Raiders 12
FPI prediction: LV, 55.6% (by a mean of two factors)

Matchup must-reads: Might fixing the Patriots’ offense embody benching Jones? … Adams ‘glad to get that win’ vs. former Packers crew … Is Adams happy? The star receiver opens up



Schefter joins McAfee to speak Belichick’s future with Patriots

Adam Schefter joins Pat McAfee to debate Invoice Belichick’s future with the Patriots. (edited)


4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: LAR -7 (48.5)

Storyline to observe: With operating again James Conner on injured reserve due to a knee harm, the Cardinals do not have one other again with greater than 48 dashing yards to this point. However the Rams’ rush protection ranks twenty fifth in DVOA and allowed 159 dashing yards to the Eagles in Week 5. — Sarah Barshop

Daring prediction: Cardinals quarterback Joshua Dobbs will make up for Conner’s absence and have the most effective recreation of his profession. He’ll throw for greater than 300 yards and rush for no less than 100 towards a Rams protection that ranks sixteenth in opponent scoring (21.6 factors allowed per recreation) within the Cardinals’ second win of the season. — Josh Weinfuss

Stat to know: Dobbs has thrown six passing touchdowns via his first 5 video games with the Cardinals. He wants 4 extra to tie Gary Hogeboom for probably the most landing passes (10) via a participant’s first six video games with Arizona.

Matchup X issue: Cardinals operating again Emari Demercado. With Conner injured, Demercado could be the one to hold the workload in his absence. We all know the Cardinals will need to run the ball, so he ought to play an enormous position on this recreation. — Walder

Accidents: Cardinals | Rams

What to know for fantasy: Rams QB Matthew Stafford has averaged 290.2 passing yards per recreation and has Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua as his high two receivers. When it comes to fantasy factors allowed per recreation, Arizona’s protection has allowed the seventh-most factors to extensive receivers and the third most to quarterbacks. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Rams are 5-0-1 ATS of their previous six video games following a loss. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Rams 28, Cardinals 21
Walder’s choose: Rams 27, Cardinals 14
FPI prediction: LAR, 72.7% (by a mean of 8.3 factors)

Matchup must-reads: With Conner on IR, what’s subsequent for Cardinals’ offense? … Nacua, Kupp tandem is a ‘champagne drawback’ for Rams … First-quarter struggles hold placing Cardinals ‘behind the eight ball’ … McVay says Jefferson commerce was greatest for each side


4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: PHI -7 (41)

Storyline to observe: This recreation options two of the best operating backs within the NFL — the Eagles’ D’Andre Swift (434 yards, fourth in dashing yards) and the Jets’ Breece Corridor (387, sixth), who’s coming off a 177-yard gem in a win over the Broncos. The Jets’ probabilities of pulling off the upset — and their first-ever win over the Eagles — hinge on an enormous recreation from Corridor, who’s absolutely recovered from final season’s ACL surgical procedure. — Wealthy Cimini

Daring prediction: Eagles receiver DeVonta Smith will prepared the ground with 120-plus receiving yards. The Eagles’ talent gamers take turns dominating the stat sheet. A.J. Brown and Dallas Goedert have taken heart stage in current weeks. Coming off a one-catch outing towards the Rams, Smith will emerge as the focus to penetrate a Jets move protection that has restricted offenses to 206 passing yards per recreation and is tied for fourth within the NFL in interceptions (5). — Tim McManus

Stat to know: Eagles QB Jalen Hurts has 55 rushes (probably the most amongst QBs), 206 dashing yards (second most) and 4 touchdowns (tied for probably the most) this season. He is going through the Jets who’ve allowed the second-most dashing yards to opposing QBs this season (163).

Matchup X issue: The Jets’ offensive line. Simply because it was beginning to determine issues out, the road misplaced its greatest participant in Alijah Vera-Tucker for the season. The group has its work minimize out for it towards the Eagles. It is a large ask to guard Zach Wilson this week. — Walder

Accidents: Eagles | Jets

What to know for fantasy: The Jets are the one crew within the league that averages extra yards per dashing play (5.4) than passing play (5.0). The Jets’ offensive line ranks thirteenth in run block win fee, which bodes effectively for Corridor. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Eagles are 12-0 outright and 11-1 ATS all-time towards the Jets, with six straight covers. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Eagles 31, Jets 17
Walder’s choose: Eagles 28, Jets 16
FPI prediction: PHI, 65.3% (by a mean of 5.4 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Rookie Carter already producing at historic tempo … Jets vow to be prepared for Eagles’ distinctive tush push formation … Corridor comes full circle in displaying NFL world he is again


4:25 p.m. ET | FOX | Unfold: DET -3 (43.5)

Storyline to observe: The chief of the NFC North faces the chief of the NFC South. The Lions’ offense is on hearth, averaging 29.6 factors per recreation — fourth greatest within the league — whereas the Bucs boast one of many league’s stingiest purple zone defenses. The Bucs are holding opponents to a 27.3% effectivity ranking within the purple zone (second greatest), and opposing quarterbacks are finishing simply 33.3% of their passes within the purple zone, the most effective mark within the NFL. — Jenna Laine

Daring prediction: Lions operating again David Montgomery will rush for 100-plus yards for a 3rd straight recreation. Tampa Bay’s rush protection isn’t any slouch, permitting simply 379 complete dashing yards on the season, however Montgomery is in a groove, and the Lions proceed to feed him. No Lions participant has rushed for 100 or extra yards in three consecutive video games since Corridor of Famer Barry Sanders (1998). — Eric Woodyard

Stat to know: The Buccaneers have allowed 4 sacks this season, which is the fewest allowed by the crew via 4 video games since 2008 (additionally 4). The Lions have registered 14 sacks to this point this season, tied for 14th-most within the NFL.

Matchup X issue: Lions extensive receiver Jameson Williams. He had two receptions for two yards final week, however he performed 47% of the snaps. I may see him making a huge impact quickly. — Walder

Accidents: Lions | Buccaneers

What to know for fantasy: The one groups with extra dashing makes an attempt than the Lions (165) are the Eagles (179) and 49ers (173). However the Buccaneers’ protection has held its opponents to fewer than 80 dashing yards in three of 4 video games this season. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Lions are 27-12 ATS below coach Dan Campbell, the most effective report within the NFL in that span. They’re 4-1 ATS this season with three straight covers. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Lions 31, Buccaneers 27
Walder’s choose: Lions 35, Buccaneers 13
FPI prediction: DET, 55% (by a mean of 1.8 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Mosely tears ACL for second 12 months in a row … Mayfield’s Bucs renaissance, and what’s subsequent … Goff: Lions changing into ‘extra mature crew’ … Assured Bucs embracing Bowles period on each side of ball



The important thing to Baker Mayfield’s turnaround with the Bucs

Marcus Spears says Buccaneers QB Baker Mayfield is extra comfy and is taking part in free with fewer expectations this season.


8:20 p.m. ET | NBC | Unfold: BUF -14 (45)

Storyline to observe: This recreation represents an enormous bounce-back alternative for the Payments’ offense after a subpar efficiency towards the Jaguars — particularly for the bottom recreation. The Giants have given up 5.3 yards per rush (twenty ninth) and 6.3 yards per play (31) this season. A Payments offense that scored 37-plus factors in a three-game stretch earlier than Week 5 will probably be a problem for this Giants protection. — Alaina Getzenberg

Daring prediction: Giants RB Saquon Barkley will rush for 100-plus yards in his return from an ankle harm regardless of seeing fewer than 15 carries. This may appear inconceivable given the state of the Giants’ offensive line and Barkley’s monitor report after getting back from ankle accidents. However the Giants’ line is healthier at run blocking than move blocking (positive, it is a low bar at this level), and Buffalo is beat up defensively. The Payments are permitting 134.0 dashing yards per recreation, twenty fifth within the NFL. Welcome again, Saquon! — Jordan Raanan

Stat to know: The Payments have used nickel protection on 95.8% of their performs this season, the best fee within the NFL. They’ve dominated opponents utilizing five-plus defensive backs, rating first in each touchdown-to-interception ratio and sack fee. The Giants, who wrestle towards defenses with five-plus defensive backs, rank final in these metrics.

Matchup X issue: Payments edge rusher Von Miller. He performed simply 23% of the snaps final week, however that presumably will probably be growing towards the Giants. And the Payments want the assistance, too, with DaQuan Jones now injured. — Walder

Accidents: Giants | Payments

What to know for fantasy: New York’s protection has given up the fifth-most fantasy factors to operating backs to this point this season. Do not be afraid to start out James Prepare dinner. See Week 6 rankings. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Giants are 0-5 ATS this season, the worst within the NFL. Final season, the Giants had been 13-4 ATS, the most effective mark within the NFL. Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Payments 38, Giants 17
Walder’s choose: Payments 30, Giants 17
FPI prediction: BUF, 89.3% (by a mean of 17 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Jones not fearful neck harm is long-term concern … Payments have robust highway forward with defensive accidents piling up


Monday, 8:15 p.m. ET | ESPN | Unfold: DAL -2.5 (51)

Storyline to observe: The Cowboys fired offensive coordinator Kellen Moore after final season’s divisional-round playoff loss, with coach Mike McCarthy taking up because the crew’s offensive playcaller. The Chargers rapidly scooped up Moore after firing their coordinator, Joe Lombardi, and Moore has the Chargers among the many league’s greatest passing offenses. Now he’ll face his former crew recent off the Cowboys’ 32-point loss to the 49ers, through which the Cowboys scored simply 10 factors. — Kris Rhim

Daring prediction: Cowboys QB Dak Prescott will throw for 300 yards. That could be commonplace for a lot of quarterbacks, nevertheless it hasn’t been widespread for Prescott. In his previous 17 begins, he has one 300-yard recreation. The Chargers’ move protection has had an every-other-game really feel to this point, permitting 466 and 367 yards within the first and third video games. Perhaps the bye will assist Los Angeles, however Prescott may have an enormous night time. — Todd Archer

Stat to know: Over the previous three seasons, Herbert has been one of many league’s greatest QBs below stress, rating third in QBR (66.1), sixth in completion proportion (67.5%), second in passing yards (10,859), fifth in passing touchdowns (70) and third in sack fee when below stress (15.5%). The Cowboys lead the NFL in stress proportion over that very same span.

Matchup X issue: McCarthy. He needed offensive playcalling duties again, however to this point the outcomes have not been there. Dallas ranks simply fifteenth in EPA per play on that facet of the ball, with neither the passing recreation nor dashing recreation cracking the highest 10. — Walder

Accidents: Cowboys | Chargers

What to know for fantasy: The Cowboys’ protection ranks twenty fifth in run cease win fee (29.1%), whereas the Chargers’ offensive line ranks sixth in run block win fee (72.4%). For fantasy managers, L.A. operating again Austin Ekeler’s anticipated return comes at a good time. — Moody

Betting nugget: The Cowboys are 5-0 ATS after a loss previously two seasons and 9-1 ATS previously three seasons (seven straight covers). Learn extra.

Moody’s choose: Chargers 27, Cowboys 17
Walder’s choose: Chargers 30, Cowboys 23
FPI prediction: LAC, 55.4% (by a mean of 1.9 factors)

Matchup must-reads: Cowboys’ D goals to rebound vs. Chargers … Ekeler: ‘99% probability’ of return vs. Cowboys … Jones nonetheless believes in Cowboys, Prescott after rout

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